The Future Is Asian: Global Order in the Twenty-first Century | 維持健康的好方法 - 2024年6月

The Future Is Asian: Global Order in the Twenty-first Century

作者:Parag Khanna
出版社:
出版日期:2019年02月07日
ISBN:9781474610674
語言:繁體中文
售價:824元

  十九世紀,歐洲主宰世界;二十世紀,美國主宰世界;而今,來到二十一世紀,換亞洲來主宰世界!
  《連結力Connectography》作者、全球趨勢指標觀察家──帕拉格‧科納Parag Khanna最新力作!
 
  「亞洲世紀」可能遠比你想像的還要宏大,這不僅是指中國而已,還囊括了沙烏地阿拉伯、日本、俄羅斯、澳洲、土耳其,乃至印度尼西亞。這些國家因貿易、經濟、基礎建設與外交政策而連結在一起,高達五十億的國民創造出40%的全球GDP。誠然,中國帶動了新絲路的建設,但其並非中國一己之力帶動的。現在,亞洲的商業活動頻繁、甚或偶有衝突乃至文化交流……儼然已回到歐洲殖民及美國主宰以前的年代。現今的亞洲,已有能力主宰他們的命運,甚至能主宰亞洲整個世界的命運。
 
  現今的亞洲已經壯大到不容忽視,因此,我們更不能夠錯看了亞洲形勢。許多西方人誤以為中國為亞洲的中心,猜度著第三次世界大戰即將發生,並導致當地經濟危機。事實上,現在有新興的成長中國家──印度及菲律賓等國──正在帶領著亞洲經濟起飛,這些國家的領導人更重視國家間的整合經濟甚於國土意識,而他們在基礎建設的投資亦成為下一代數位創新的基石。
 
  亞洲對世界的影響,遍及投資獲益、貿易戰爭、好萊塢電影甚至學校錄取資格等面向,亞洲主宰世界已勢在必得,因此,我們勢必得了解亞洲,藉由本書,我們可以精準了解真實的亞洲面貌。(文/博客來編譯)
 
  A compelling, eye-opening account of how Asia is creating a new template for the future of the world from Parag Khanna, a renowned globalization scholar and former senior advisor to the US National Intelligence Council and Special Operations Forces.
 
  Asia is where the action is. Five billion people, one-third of the global economy, two-thirds of global economic growth, a third of the Fortune 100 companies, eight of the ten largest armies, five nuclear powers, and massive technological innovation. Whether using demography, geography, or economy as a metric, Asia is already the present—and it is certainly the future.
 
  In The Future Is Asian, Parag Khanna sweeps us along on his travels spanning Saudi Arabia to Japan and Russia to Australia, explaining how Asia is by far the most ethnically, linguistically, and culturally diverse region of the planet. Even for Asians, Asia is dizzying to navigate. That complexity leads to common misdiagnoses: Western thinking on Asia conflates the entire region with China, predicts World War III around every corner, and regularly forecasts debt-driven collapse for the region’s major economies. But in the real world, the region is experiencing a confident new wave of growth. India and Southeast Asia are now outpacing China, leaders have put aside territorial disputes in favor of integration, and today’s infrastructure investments are the platform for the next generation of urban and digital growth. We cannot afford to continue to get Asia so wrong, warns Khanna.
 
  If the nineteenth century featured the Europeanization of the world, and the twentieth century its Americanization, then the twenty-first century is surely the time of Asianization. With America’s universities and tech sector dependent on Asian talent and politicians singing the praises of Asia’s glittering cities and efficient governments, Asia is firmly in our nation’s consciousness. Now The Future Is Asian accurately shows Asia from the inside out, telling the story of how this mega-region is coming together and reshaping the entire planet at the same time.
 
Review
 
  “Understanding the global economy in this century means above all understanding that it is likely to be an Asian Century.  Parag Khanna’s important book provides a rich perspective going well beyond the economic statistics. Everyone concerned with the future of the global economy should consider its arguments.”—Lawrence H. Summers, Former Secretary of the Treasury, Former Director of the National Economic Council, and Harvard President Emeritus.
 
  “The 21st century is the century of Asia. I suggest you read this book, even if you’re already aware!”—Jim Rogers, International Investor and author of Street Smarts: Adventures on the Road and in the Markets
 
  “Khanna illuminates the global tectonic shift to Asia—but argues provocatively that a rising China will be entangled in a multi-polar region.”—Graham T. Allison, Professor, Harvard Kennedy School and author of Destined for War
 
  “When our grandchildren want to understand how, in the early 21st century, Asia came to occupy—or rather, reoccupy—the cultural and economic center of the planet, they will read the magisterial work of Parag Khanna.”—Paul Salopek, National Geographic Fellow
 
  “Parag Khanna’s magisterial work weaves a powerful story where business, technology, globalization and geopolitics are intertwined. This is a must read for anyone who wants to understand the role of Asia in shaping the future of the world.”—Nandan Nilekani, Co-founder and Chairman of Infosys, Founding Chairman of Aadhaar (UIDAI)
 
  "A comprehensive worldview from an Asian perspective.... Khanna enlists his considerable global experience and education to elegantly lay out the vast range and enormous potential of what he calls the Asian system of moving beyond geography and embracing alliances, institutions, infrastructure, trade, investment, culture and other patterns... Khanna begins with a dazzling distillation of the history of the world from an Asian perspective.... Thorough and clear, offering abundant food for thought."—Kirkus Reviews
 
  "In an authoritative book which may well become a standard reference...Parag Khanna casts the net wider to deliver a compelling argument that Asia — rather than merely China — is the current and future lodestar for the global economy. Of Asia’s nearly 5bn people, 3.5bn are not Chinese."—James Kynge, Financial Times
 
  “The Future is Asian delves into the rich history of Asian civilizations engaging in robust patterns of commerce and culture —and the rediscovery of those ties in the post-Cold War world—and offers intriguing ideas on the potential for an 'Asianisation' of the global order. Parag Khanna makes a strong case for an Asian coming of age, driven by confidence in Asia’s own past and the plurality that is inherent to the region. His suggestion that Asia offers an ideal alternative to the declining hegemony of the West is provocative and visionary. A stimulating read.”—Shashi Tharoor, Member of the Indian Parliament and former UN Undersecretary General
 
  “We need to pay attention to Parag Khanna’s ideas.”—Eric Schmidt, CEO of Google
 
  “Parag Khanna has vision.”—Nicholas Nassim Taleb, author of The Black Swan




Author
 
  Parag Khanna is Managing Partner of FutureMap, a scenario planning and strategic advisory firm. He has been a fellow at Brookings, New America, and the Lee Kuan Yew School at the National University of Singapore, as well as an advisor to the US National Intelligence Council and US Special Operations Forces. Khanna holds a PhD from the London School of Economics, and bachelor’s and master’s degrees from the School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University. He is a Young Global Leader of the World Economic Forum.


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